What was once a reliable voter bloc for a Democrat candidate for President (to say nothing of an incumbent Dem) is far from a sure thing this cycle.
President Joe Biden heads into the election year showing alarming weakness among stalwarts of the Democratic base, with Donald Trump leading among Hispanic voters and young people. One in 5 Black voters now say they'll support a third-party candidate in November.
In a new USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll, Biden's failure to consolidate support in key parts of the coalition that elected him in 2020 has left him narrowly trailing Trump, the likely Republican nominee, 39%-37%; 17% support an unnamed third-party candidate.
When seven candidates are specified by name, Trump's lead inches up to 3 percentage points, 37%-34%, with independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at the top of the third-party candidates at 10%.
You mean the progs' efforts to co-opt Hispanic identity with nonsensical "gender neutral" language like "Latinx" ain't lockin' 'em in?!?!?! Huh. Color me shocked.
Erick Erickson lays out the crux of the matter.
Cue the left wing "think" pieces which will now dub certain Hispanics as the new brown faces of white supremacy.
Of course, this does not assure Trump's victory given he himself has alienated a lot of reliable GOP voter demographics from elections past. If ever there was a season for a credible third party candidate, this would be it.
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1 comment:
One of the major party candidates WILL win the election, and that is as it should be. The absence of a third-party candidate makes the binary choice obvious, whereas the presence of a third-party candidate does not change that. And imagining that voting for neither magically creates a viable third-party candidate simply lets the less-informed and less-principled voters (i.e. Democrats) win by default. People who cannot win a major-party nomination cannot win a general election. They CAN be spoilers.
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