I had been hearing rumors of Sen. Tina Smith (D-MN) not seeking reelection in 2026. On Thursday morning, she made it official.
I’ve decided not to run for re-election to the Senate in 2026.
— Senator Tina Smith (@SenTinaSmith) February 13, 2025
This job has been the honor of a lifetime. For the rest of my term, I’ll work as hard as I can for Minnesotans and our country.
Thank you so much, Minnesota. pic.twitter.com/3sWVib8nKJ
Given the GOP has a 53-47 advantage in the U.S. Senate, Dems need a net gain of four seats to attain a majority. But given they'll be on defense in Georgia (Jon Ossoff, incumbent D in a red state) and Michigan (Gary Peters, who's also not running in '26), this announcement certainly doesn't bolster their prospects. While I'm not suggesting that Smith's seat is suddenly in play for Republicans, it does mean that Democrats have to devote more resources to playing defense here as opposed to relying on the power of incumbency in a blue state.
So now the question shifts to who might vie for this seat from both parties. Well, the current Lt. Gov. didn't waste any time in conveying her plans.
I love Minnesota and my intention is to run for U.S. Senate and continue to serve the people of this state. I’ll make a formal announcement later this month. In the meantime, I’m talking with community and family and friends. I will have more to say soon.
— Peggy Flanagan (@peggyflanagan) February 13, 2025
This comes on the heals of speculation that Flanagan's boss was considering a run.
Senator Smith’s announcement that she is not seeking another term sets the stage for a new way forward in Minnesota. We need a stronger America. A stronger Minnesota. I’m excited for our future, I look forward to sharing some big news soon. @mnleg @nrsc
— Adam Schwarze (@AdamSchwarze) February 13, 2025
Schwarze's only foray into electoral politics was in 2022 when he failed in his bid to be the GOP candidate in Minnesota's Third Congressional District. The woeful lack of name recognition would be his undoing in a statewide race.
So if the Minnesota gubernatorial race is suddenly wide open, who does the GOP put forth? Well, given the party's recent history in candidate selection, they're on a course to make the same mistake they did in the 2018 cycle when they put forth the guy (Jeff Johnson) who lost in the previous gov race.
Former GOP gubernatorial nominee Scott Jensen told the Minnesota Star Tribune this week he is “strongly considering” running again next year. Jensen, a Chaska physician and former state senator, rose to prominence in the state Republican Party during the COVID-19 pandemic as an outspoken skeptic of death counts, vaccines and mask mandates.
Jensen lost to Walz by nearly 8 percentage points in 2022. Despite being at the top of the ticket, Jensen garnered fewer votes than the GOP’s candidates for attorney general, secretary of state and state auditor.
Again, that's gotta be a non-starter.
Kendall Qualls, who seriously pushed Jensen for the state party endorsement in 2022, is also considering a run. Between his '22 gov campaign and his opposition to CD3 Congressman Dean Phillips in 2020, Qualls has some significant name recognition. His founding of the organization Take Charge has also raised his profile. This would be a solid pick.
And then there's an out-of-the-box consideration......and I definitely don't hate it.
Attorney Chris Madel has been rumored to be contemplating a run for the governor’s mansion. Madel was the attorney for state trooper Ryan Londregan, who faced criminal charges in the shooting death of Ricky Cobb II that were later dismissed. He is representing Alpha News and its star reporter, Liz Collin, who are being sued for defamation by a high-ranking Minneapolis police officer over claims made in the film, “The Fall of Minneapolis.”
Political observers noted that several “Chris Madel for governor” web domains were registered in mid-January. Madel would not confirm or deny his interest in the race when asked by a Star Tribune reporter late last month.
“As a policy, I admit nothing, and I deny nothing,” Madel said.
In January, Madel wrote an op-ed in Alpha News urging state House Republicans to fight back against the DFL’s boycott of the legislative session. He slammed Walz’s leadership at the beginning of the op-ed while also noting he once supported the governor.
If we've learned anything in the Trump era, it's that a high profile figure from outside the political realm can definitely make some hay, particularly for a constituency (i.e. MN Republicans) who have grown tired of losing (18 years and counting, statewide). I absolutely wanna hear more.
We're barely more than a month removed from those who won elected office in 2024 being sworn into their new positions. This is proof positive that there is no offseason for campaigning. As a citizen, I occasionally grow quite weary. But as a radio talk show host? More, please!
π¨π¨π¨π¨UPDATE: Friend of the Northern Alliance Radio Network (and current Minnesota State Senator) Julia Coleman is considering running for a different office in 2026! π¨π¨π¨π¨
More candidate watch news:
— Caroline Cummings (@CaroRCummings) February 13, 2025
State Sen. Julia Coleman, R-Waconia, confirms that she is also considering a bid for this seat once held by her father-in-law Norm Coleman #mnleg #mnsen https://t.co/Ckjbyi98FZ
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