Tennessee Titans (+7) at Kansas City Chiefs: This is a rematch of a Week 10 regular season game where the Titans prevailed at home 35-32. In that contest, Titans RB Derrick Henry rushed for 188 yards and 2 touchdowns. He will need a similar performance in Kansas City if his club has any chance to win. Henry has averaged 32 carries per game over the past three weeks while posting more than 6 yards per rush. How much does he have left in the tank? The Chiefs' defense allows almost five yards per carry, so the opportunities should there.
After falling behind the Houston Texans 24-0 early in the second quarter last week, the Chiefs responded by scoring a TD on seven consecutive possessions. Since that Week 10 loss to the Titans, Patrick Mahomes and Co. have not lost a game. It's almost as if that loss served as a wake-up call.
Tennessee might be able to hang for a half, maybe even into the third quarter. However, KC will prevail and thus go to the Super Bowl fifty years after their last appearance in Super Bowl IV.
Kansas City 45 Tennessee 28
Green Bay Packers (+7-1/2) at San Francisco 49ers: Like the AFC matchup, this is also a rematch from the 2019 regular year. In that game, Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers had his worst performance of the season (maybe even his entire career) in a 37-8 loss. It's pretty much assured that when Rodgers & Co. take on a defense with a player named "Bosa," they won't fare very well.
I believe this game will be the first where Niners QB Jimmy Garoppolo is thoroughly tested. Last week in his first career playoff game, Garoppolo was mediocre. However, his defense completely shut down my Vikings, so he didn't have to do much. I suspect he'll need to make more plays this week.
Home field will be the difference in this one.
San Francisco 31 Green Bay 21
My 2019 Postseason Record:
Against the Spread: 2-5-1
Straight Up: 4-4
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