There was nothing on my ballot in Tuesday's off year elections, but I was still engaged on what was going on outside my bubble.
A few bullet points:
- The DFL kept their 34-33 majority in the MN Senate as the special elections in SD 29 (Monticello, Delano and Buffalo) and SD 47 (Woodbury, South Maplewood) remained in GOP and DFL hands, respectively. Neither was close as GOP candidate Michael Holmstrom and DFLer Amanda Hemmingsen-Jaeger emerged with 20+ point victories.
- St Paul Mayor Melvin Carter was defeated in his reelection bid by Kaohly Her, which means the capitol city now has an all female city council and female mayor. This will be touted as one of the most diverse municipal leaderships in the country except in perhaps the most vital category - ideology.
On the west side of the river, Mayor Jacob Frey is in the fight of his life against Omar Fateh. As of Wednesday morning, votes are still being tabulated (UPDATE: Frey re-elected). The City Council, of course, is all left of center, but there were four DFL candidates endorsed by the Democratic Socialists of America --- and all four were victorious. As my friend Bill Glahn often says -- "Decline is a choice." And Minneapolis voters have clearly opted for that.
- Speaking of choosing decline....
Congrats to Mr. Mamdani for not only being elected Mayor of the Big Apple but also instantly becoming the top selling realtor for most of the southern states.
- Not surprisingly, Dems prevailed in all the key statewide races in Virginia and New Jersey. The only mystery was if incumbent Virginia Atty General Jason Miyares could fend off his Democrat opponent Jay Jones. Yes, Jones was the one who three years ago fantasized about shooting dead the former GOP Speaker of the Virginia House. Nevertheless, he eked out a 2-point victory. I've seen a lot of scuttle among conservatives on Twitter which suggested not enough focus was on Jones' awful background and too much time eating our own (i.e. ripping Tucker Carlson for platforming a hate monger, rightly calling out the vile text messages of the Young Republicans, etc.). I'll be charitable and say you're woefully misguided if you believe that was a factor. The sad reality is only a minority of voters even believed Jones' text scandal was "disqualifying."
It also didn't help that the GOP candidate at the top of the ticket, gubernatorial candidate Winsome Earle-Sears, was utterly inept. I don't know that any Republican gov candidate could have prevailed in that environment, but they certainly wouldn't have been as big a drag on down ballot races.
- If you've followed politics over the past ten years, there's been one undeniable trend which has emerged. When Donald Trump is not on the ballot, GOP turnout is feeble. While Trump may endorse candidates and even campaign on their behalf, the fact of the matter is Republicans have become low propensity voters in the Trump era. And since Trump will never again appear on a ballot, the party needs to make a definitive decision as to how to move forward, both in terms of its brand and turnout apparatus.
The one incontrovertible truth which we can take away from Tuesday's results - it's still the economy, stupid. Erick Erickson provided a sobering reminder.
Like it or not, inflation is growing faster than wages again. And yes, tariffs are playing a role, but not the only role. Republicans promised they’d lower grocery prices, and grocery prices are on the rise. It’s not a coincidence that coffee prices and banana prices are showing up repeatedly in stories about grocery prices going up. The President has placed a big tariff on the countries from which we get those things. Yes, Republicans, the economy still matters, and, contrary to the President, tariffs are hurting people.
Since Trump and Congressional Republicans haven't been serious about addressing this, perhaps they'll be given a life line from the U.S. Supreme Court? While Trump wouldn't view a SCOTUS ruling nullifying his tariffs as a positive, it would be a step in the right direction economically. It would certainly be a blessing Trump and the GOP don't deserve.
On to 2026.
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